Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.036887 0.039842 0.042943 0.046446 0.050298 0.054411 0.059143
2025-03-30 0.031863 0.035990 0.040562 0.046020 0.052386 0.059606 0.068457
2025-04-06 0.028175 0.032888 0.038320 0.045084 0.053334 0.063142 0.075788
2025-04-13 0.026157 0.031372 0.037583 0.045593 0.055746 0.068314 0.085254
2025-04-20 0.024329 0.029844 0.036596 0.045568 0.057319 0.072386 0.093497
2025-04-27 0.023084 0.028894 0.036187 0.046141 0.059576 0.077373 0.103237
2025-05-04 0.021698 0.027635 0.035247 0.045886 0.060627 0.080729 0.110915
2025-05-11 0.020529 0.026562 0.034450 0.045714 0.061711 0.084121 0.118831
2025-05-18 0.019461 0.025542 0.033638 0.045432 0.062562 0.087175 0.126425
2025-05-25 0.018568 0.024700 0.033001 0.045323 0.063613 0.090533 0.134696
2025-06-01 0.017580 0.023665 0.032026 0.044647 0.063746 0.092482 0.140856
2025-06-08 0.016619 0.022615 0.030965 0.043766 0.063486 0.093766 0.145987
2025-06-15 0.015855 0.021814 0.030230 0.043336 0.063903 0.096160 0.153218
2025-06-22 0.015154 0.021070 0.029536 0.042921 0.064305 0.098539 0.160617
2025-06-29 0.014384 0.020187 0.028589 0.042054 0.063913 0.099565 0.165692
2025-07-06 0.014026 0.019893 0.028504 0.042521 0.065700 0.104328 0.177896
2025-07-13 0.013567 0.019427 0.028130 0.042498 0.066659 0.107725 0.187867
2025-07-20 0.013274 0.019196 0.028103 0.043025 0.068565 0.112892 0.201681
2025-07-27 0.012820 0.018696 0.027631 0.042790 0.069134 0.115697 0.211119
2025-08-03 0.012412 0.018250 0.027222 0.042633 0.069820 0.118744 0.221315
2025-08-10 0.012006 0.017791 0.026768 0.042373 0.070298 0.121423 0.230993
2025-08-17 0.011657 0.017408 0.026422 0.042273 0.071052 0.124665 0.242163
2025-08-24 0.011221 0.016867 0.025793 0.041651 0.070802 0.125940 0.249176